Electricity demand and price forecasting model for sustainable smart grid using comprehensive long short term memory

نویسندگان

چکیده

This paper proposes an electricity demand and price forecast model of the smart city large datasets using a single comprehensive Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based on sequence-to-sequence network. Real market data from Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) is used to validate effectiveness proposed model. Several simulations with different configurations are executed actual produce reliable results. The validation results indicate that devised better option acceptably smaller error. A comparison also provided few existing models, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Regression Tree (RT), Neural Nonlinear Autoregressive network Exogenous variables (NARX). Compared SVM, RT, NARX, performance indices, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) forecasting has been improved by 11.25%, 20%, 33.5% respectively considering demand, 12.8%, 14.5%, 47% price; similarly, Absolute (MAE) 14%, 22.5%, 32.5% 8.4%, 21% 61% price. Additionally, can without historical datasets.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: International Journal of Sustainable Engineering

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1939-7046', '1939-7038']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/19397038.2021.1951882